Lusitano GC Évora vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.6%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.1%
58.7%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
3.1%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
11%
0-4
3%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano GC Évora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1952 |
BEL
3 - 0
LGC
76%
14%
11%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1952 |
LGC
2 - 0
SCP
23%
19%
58%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 1952 |
VST
4 - 0
LGC
49%
22%
29%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 1952 |
LGC
5 - 1
BOA
66%
17%
17%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 1952 |
VIT
1 - 1
LGC
49%
22%
29%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1952 |
SLB
3 - 0
FCB
87%
8%
5%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1952 |
FCP
2 - 1
SLB
38%
21%
41%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1952 |
SLB
8 - 2
SPB
88%
8%
4%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1952 |
SLB
7 - 2
ACA
86%
9%
5%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1952 |
BEL
1 - 2
SLB
32%
22%
46%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |