Lusitano GC Évora vs Beira Mar SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
25.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano GC Évora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 1962 |
VIT
5 - 2
LGC
69%
18%
14%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1961 |
LGC
0 - 0
FAB
57%
23%
20%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1961 |
ATL
1 - 0
LGC
66%
19%
15%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 1961 |
LGC
0 - 2
FCP
25%
24%
51%
|
63 | 87 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1961 |
LGC
1 - 3
BEL
30%
25%
45%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Beira Mar SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 1962 |
BMA
2 - 3
SLB
17%
19%
64%
|
65 | 86 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1961 |
ACA
7 - 1
BMA
48%
23%
29%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 1961 |
BMA
1 - 1
SPC
68%
18%
14%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1961 |
OLH
6 - 2
BMA
56%
21%
23%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -2 |
| 03 Dec. 1961 |
BMA
3 - 0
SAL
68%
18%
15%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | +1 |