Lusitano GC Évora vs Atlético CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
19.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano GC Évora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1961 |
LEX
3 - 1
LGC
65%
19%
16%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
LGC
2 - 2
SAL
62%
20%
18%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1961 |
VIT
5 - 2
LGC
68%
17%
15%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 1961 |
LGC
1 - 2
SLB
17%
21%
63%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 1961 |
FCB
0 - 1
LGC
52%
23%
25%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1961 |
ACA
0 - 1
ATL
66%
19%
14%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
ATL
0 - 3
LEX
64%
19%
17%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 1961 |
SAL
1 - 0
ATL
58%
21%
21%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 1961 |
ATL
1 - 0
VIT
50%
22%
28%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 1961 |
SLB
7 - 2
ATL
80%
12%
8%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | 0 |