Lusitano GC Évora vs FC Alverca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
12.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano GC Évora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
LGC
1 - 3
ORI
41%
24%
35%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
FER
0 - 1
LGC
14%
20%
66%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2017 |
LGC
0 - 6
FCP
4%
14%
82%
|
46 | 88 | 42 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
LGC
4 - 1
PER
85%
11%
5%
|
46 | 14 | 32 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
LGC
3 - 1
VAS
77%
15%
7%
|
46 | 25 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
FC Alverca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
ALV
3 - 2
1DE
48%
23%
29%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
ALV
1 - 0
LOU
58%
23%
19%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
ADN
1 - 2
ALV
34%
28%
39%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
ALV
2 - 0
OLE
44%
26%
31%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
TOR
0 - 0
ALV
52%
25%
23%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |