Lusitano GC Évora vs Aljustrelense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.1%
Win probability
3.1
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.7%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.6%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.1%
3-0
11%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.7%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.5%
5.4%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano GC Évora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
LOU
1 - 0
LGC
68%
20%
12%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
LGC
0 - 2
AMO
46%
23%
32%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -2 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
LGC
2 - 1
PIN
44%
22%
34%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
LGC
0 - 0
OLH
24%
23%
53%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
EDL
1 - 0
LGC
45%
23%
32%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Aljustrelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
ALJ
0 - 1
AMO
15%
22%
64%
|
19 | 39 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
OLH
2 - 0
ALJ
85%
11%
5%
|
19 | 42 | 23 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
ALJ
1 - 0
EDL
15%
18%
66%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | +2 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
MON
4 - 1
ALJ
71%
16%
13%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
ALJ
1 - 1
JUV
31%
23%
47%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |