Lusitano GC Évora vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
20.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano GC Évora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 1963 |
SLB
2 - 0
LGC
89%
8%
4%
|
60 | 86 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1963 |
LGC
2 - 1
OLH
62%
21%
17%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1963 |
VST
1 - 2
LGC
69%
19%
12%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 1963 |
LGC
0 - 1
VAR
55%
22%
23%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1963 |
LEX
1 - 0
LGC
68%
19%
13%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 1963 |
ACA
0 - 3
SCP
20%
22%
58%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1963 |
VIT
2 - 1
ACA
70%
17%
14%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1963 |
ACA
1 - 0
BEL
30%
25%
45%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 1963 |
FCP
1 - 1
ACA
82%
12%
6%
|
61 | 86 | 25 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 1963 |
ACA
3 - 0
FCB
71%
17%
12%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |