Lusitano GC Évora vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
17.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano GC Évora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1963 |
BEL
1 - 0
LGC
70%
17%
13%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1963 |
LGC
0 - 1
FCP
20%
23%
57%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1963 |
LGC
0 - 0
FCB
70%
18%
12%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 1963 |
SCP
2 - 1
LGC
84%
11%
6%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1963 |
LGC
0 - 1
VIT
50%
23%
27%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1963 |
ACA
8 - 0
FCB
70%
18%
12%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1963 |
SCP
5 - 1
ACA
85%
10%
5%
|
60 | 88 | 28 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1963 |
ACA
0 - 2
VIT
52%
24%
25%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 1963 |
FEI
2 - 1
ACA
52%
23%
25%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 1963 |
ACA
1 - 1
LEX
52%
23%
25%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |