Lusitano GC Évora vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
27.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano GC Évora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1961 |
SPC
1 - 2
LGC
56%
22%
21%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1961 |
LGC
2 - 1
OLH
52%
23%
25%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 1961 |
SAL
1 - 0
LGC
58%
21%
21%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 1961 |
LGC
4 - 0
LEX
49%
24%
28%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 1961 |
SCP
0 - 0
LGC
80%
12%
8%
|
61 | 86 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1961 |
ACA
3 - 1
SLB
25%
24%
51%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1961 |
ACA
2 - 1
BEL
31%
25%
44%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 1961 |
SPC
1 - 2
ACA
53%
24%
23%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 1961 |
ACA
1 - 2
OLH
54%
21%
25%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 1961 |
SAL
1 - 2
ACA
56%
22%
22%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |