Lusitano GC Évora vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
22.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano GC Évora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1961 |
LGC
4 - 0
ATL
59%
22%
19%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1961 |
LEX
3 - 1
LGC
65%
19%
16%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
LGC
2 - 2
SAL
62%
20%
18%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1961 |
VIT
5 - 2
LGC
68%
17%
15%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 1961 |
LGC
1 - 2
SLB
17%
21%
63%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | -1 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1961 |
BEL
2 - 2
ACA
74%
16%
11%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1961 |
ACA
0 - 1
ATL
66%
19%
14%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
SPC
1 - 1
ACA
50%
24%
25%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1961 |
ACA
1 - 1
LEX
64%
20%
16%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1961 |
FCP
0 - 1
ACA
87%
9%
4%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | +1 |