Lusitano GC Évora vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
19.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano GC Évora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1956 |
LGC
2 - 0
CAL
76%
15%
10%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1956 |
TOR
1 - 3
LGC
46%
22%
33%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 1956 |
LGC
3 - 1
FAB
68%
17%
15%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 1956 |
FCB
1 - 0
LGC
49%
23%
28%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 1956 |
LGC
3 - 2
FCP
29%
24%
48%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1956 |
TOR
2 - 1
ACA
55%
22%
23%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1956 |
ACA
2 - 2
FCB
61%
20%
20%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1956 |
VST
3 - 1
ACA
58%
21%
22%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 1956 |
ACA
2 - 1
ORI
72%
15%
13%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 1956 |
ATL
1 - 0
ACA
61%
20%
20%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |