Lusitano GC Évora vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.1%
25%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano GC Évora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1955 |
FAB
3 - 1
LGC
55%
19%
26%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1955 |
LGC
3 - 0
FCB
54%
21%
25%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 1955 |
BOA
4 - 1
LGC
52%
21%
27%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 1955 |
LGC
2 - 1
FCP
21%
22%
57%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 1955 |
SLB
7 - 1
LGC
86%
9%
5%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1955 |
ACA
1 - 0
FCB
61%
20%
20%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1955 |
FCP
2 - 1
ACA
78%
13%
9%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1955 |
ACA
1 - 1
SCP
21%
20%
59%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1955 |
SPB
4 - 1
ACA
65%
19%
16%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 1955 |
ACA
2 - 2
BEL
44%
23%
32%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | +1 |