Lusitano GC Évora vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
22.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano GC Évora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 1954 |
SLB
5 - 2
LGC
87%
8%
5%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1954 |
FCB
3 - 1
LGC
55%
21%
24%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1954 |
LGC
1 - 2
VIT
62%
19%
18%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 1954 |
ORI
2 - 3
LGC
39%
24%
37%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1953 |
LGC
2 - 1
ATL
53%
22%
25%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 1954 |
ACA
0 - 2
SCP
22%
21%
57%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1954 |
ACA
1 - 2
FCP
39%
25%
37%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1954 |
SPC
1 - 0
ACA
56%
21%
23%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 1954 |
SLB
1 - 2
ACA
88%
8%
4%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 1953 |
ACA
2 - 0
FCB
55%
21%
24%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |