Lusitano GC Évora vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.5%
22.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano GC Évora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1953 |
LGC
2 - 0
FCB
49%
22%
29%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1953 |
FCP
4 - 1
LGC
83%
10%
7%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1953 |
LGC
3 - 2
SPB
64%
19%
18%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1953 |
SLB
3 - 1
LGC
87%
8%
5%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1953 |
LGC
0 - 1
BEL
27%
23%
50%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1953 |
VST
2 - 2
ACA
56%
21%
23%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1953 |
ACA
0 - 2
SPB
71%
16%
14%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 1953 |
ACA
4 - 1
FCB
55%
20%
24%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 1953 |
BOA
1 - 1
ACA
61%
19%
20%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1953 |
ACA
1 - 1
FCP
34%
24%
42%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | 0 |