Lusitânia vs Torreense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.9%
26%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26%
53.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+52%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitânia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
MAF
3 - 0
LUS
75%
17%
8%
|
35 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
LUS
0 - 1
PRA
12%
19%
69%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
LUS
0 - 0
GDA
81%
13%
7%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
ALC
4 - 2
LUS
66%
20%
14%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
LUS
1 - 0
CAL
23%
25%
53%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | +3 |
Matches
Torreense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
TOR
2 - 0
GDA
80%
15%
5%
|
49 | 20 | 29 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
ALC
2 - 1
TOR
38%
28%
35%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2016 |
TOR
2 - 3
CHA
12%
20%
68%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
TOR
1 - 0
CAL
56%
25%
20%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
GDR
0 - 1
TOR
21%
25%
54%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | 0 |