Lusitânia vs Tocha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
27.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+158%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitânia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
COI
1 - 0
LUS
53%
23%
24%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
LUS
1 - 0
IDE
63%
20%
17%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
FAY
3 - 4
LUS
16%
21%
63%
|
35 | 15 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
LUS
3 - 0
AGU
84%
11%
4%
|
35 | 8 | 27 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
PRA
0 - 2
LUS
65%
20%
15%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Tocha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
TOC
1 - 2
ADN
50%
23%
27%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
TOC
1 - 1
OPE
32%
26%
42%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
PAM
1 - 1
TOC
46%
24%
30%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
TOC
3 - 0
CRA
85%
11%
4%
|
35 | 7 | 28 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
BOM
0 - 3
TOC
18%
22%
61%
|
35 | 17 | 18 | 0 |