Lusitânia vs Benfica Castelo Branco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
47.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+158%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitânia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
PAM
2 - 1
LUS
52%
22%
26%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
LUS
4 - 4
ADN
48%
24%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
ESP
3 - 0
LUS
77%
15%
8%
|
32 | 54 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
OPE
3 - 2
LUS
63%
21%
16%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
LUS
2 - 1
CES
43%
24%
34%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Benfica Castelo Branco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
BEN
1 - 1
OPE
47%
25%
28%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
CES
2 - 2
BEN
28%
24%
48%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
BEN
1 - 2
ANA
52%
24%
25%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
SAO
2 - 4
BEN
42%
25%
33%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
BEN
0 - 0
ACV
25%
26%
49%
|
40 | 55 | 15 | +1 |