Lusitânia vs São João Ver analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
39.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+158%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitânia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
ACV
5 - 1
LUS
78%
15%
7%
|
32 | 54 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
LUS
1 - 1
TOC
49%
24%
28%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
COI
1 - 0
LUS
53%
23%
24%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -2 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
LUS
1 - 0
IDE
63%
20%
17%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
FAY
3 - 4
LUS
16%
21%
63%
|
35 | 15 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
São João Ver
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
SAO
1 - 2
OPE
45%
25%
30%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
CES
0 - 2
SAO
41%
24%
36%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
SAO
0 - 1
ANA
45%
25%
30%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -2 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
OLI
1 - 3
SAO
40%
24%
36%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
SAO
2 - 1
BOA
24%
27%
50%
|
37 | 57 | 20 | +1 |