Lusitânia vs Regua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.4%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
10.5%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitânia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
LUS
1 - 0
SPC
48%
25%
27%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
SRO
1 - 2
LUS
13%
17%
71%
|
49 | 24 | 25 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
BEL
1 - 0
LUS
55%
23%
22%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
CAL
1 - 0
LUS
33%
25%
42%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
LUS
3 - 3
ACA
38%
27%
35%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Regua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
VEL
1 - 2
REG
10%
13%
77%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
REG
1 - 1
ALP
17%
18%
65%
|
16 | 34 | 18 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
LEC
3 - 1
REG
74%
15%
11%
|
16 | 43 | 27 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
REG
0 - 2
BMA
16%
19%
65%
|
17 | 42 | 25 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
LUS
10 - 0
REG
70%
17%
14%
|
17 | 47 | 30 | 0 |