Lusitânia vs Moncarapachense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
23.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
+22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
1º
3º
3º
3
7º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
13 | 13 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
13 | 13 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
|
2º
|
13 | 13 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 10 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
10 | 10 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
5 | 5 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
3 | 3 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
1 | 1 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitânia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
FCA
0 - 0
LUS
28%
25%
47%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
LUS
2 - 3
MOR
50%
24%
26%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
USA
2 - 1
LUS
51%
24%
25%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
LUS
2 - 0
MAR
47%
27%
26%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
PEN
1 - 4
LUS
20%
24%
55%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Moncarapachense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
JUV
2 - 0
MON
45%
26%
29%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
MON
1 - 1
FCB
50%
26%
24%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
SIN
1 - 2
MON
51%
26%
23%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
MON
0 - 0
VAS
56%
23%
21%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
ALE
0 - 0
MON
49%
26%
25%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +1 |