Lusitânia vs Gouveia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.4%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
14.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+182%
+45%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
1º
7º
2º
21
7º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
51 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitânia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
LUS
1 - 4
SLB
2%
9%
90%
|
36 | 89 | 53 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
UFT
1 - 3
LUS
67%
19%
14%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | +2 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
VIT
0 - 0
LUS
37%
23%
40%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
LUS
1 - 0
COI
14%
21%
65%
|
32 | 65 | 33 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
LUS
1 - 0
MAR
71%
17%
13%
|
32 | 11 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Gouveia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
GOU
1 - 5
COI
14%
21%
65%
|
25 | 65 | 40 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
GDF
2 - 0
GOU
62%
20%
18%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
SER
2 - 1
GOU
53%
21%
26%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
GOU
2 - 0
UFT
11%
16%
73%
|
21 | 44 | 23 | +5 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
FCA
3 - 1
GOU
9%
16%
75%
|
22 | 8 | 14 | -1 |