Lusitânia vs Ginásio de Alcobaça analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.5%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.4%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.5%
6.9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitânia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
ALC
4 - 2
LUS
66%
20%
14%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
LUS
1 - 0
CAL
23%
25%
53%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | +2 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
GDR
1 - 3
LUS
58%
20%
22%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
ANG
1 - 3
LUS
55%
21%
24%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +2 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
LUS
0 - 0
VIL
44%
22%
34%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ginásio de Alcobaça
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
GDA
1 - 1
PRA
6%
13%
81%
|
19 | 51 | 32 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
GDA
2 - 4
ALC
11%
20%
69%
|
20 | 45 | 25 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
CAL
2 - 0
GDA
79%
16%
6%
|
20 | 46 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
GDR
3 - 1
GDA
80%
13%
8%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
GDA
0 - 3
ANG
28%
22%
50%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | -1 |