Lusitânia vs G.D.R. Gafetense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
34.1%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitânia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
CIN
1 - 1
LUS
58%
22%
19%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
LUS
1 - 1
TOU
50%
24%
27%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2013 |
BEN
0 - 1
LUS
58%
22%
20%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
BUS
1 - 1
LUS
43%
24%
33%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
LUS
2 - 0
SOU
38%
24%
38%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
G.D.R. Gafetense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
GDR
0 - 2
SPB
2%
12%
86%
|
38 | 87 | 49 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
GDR
1 - 1
SOU
58%
21%
21%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
GDR
2 - 1
VIA
51%
23%
26%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |