Lusitânia vs Anadia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
47.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+173%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitânia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
SAO
1 - 0
LUS
64%
20%
17%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
LUS
0 - 1
ACV
19%
25%
57%
|
30 | 53 | 23 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
TOC
2 - 2
LUS
44%
24%
32%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
LUS
1 - 1
CIN
25%
25%
51%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | +2 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
TOU
4 - 2
LUS
66%
20%
15%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Anadia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
ANA
1 - 1
OPE
44%
25%
31%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
CES
2 - 1
ANA
30%
25%
45%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
ESP
3 - 0
ANA
71%
18%
11%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | -2 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
ANA
2 - 0
SAO
44%
25%
31%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +2 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
ANA
0 - 1
ACV
27%
26%
47%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | 0 |