Lusitânia vs Alcanenense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
49.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitânia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
LUS
3 - 0
GDR
44%
22%
34%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
CIN
1 - 1
LUS
58%
22%
19%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
LUS
1 - 1
TOU
50%
24%
27%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2013 |
BEN
0 - 1
LUS
58%
22%
20%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
BUS
1 - 1
LUS
43%
24%
33%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Alcanenense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
VRA
1 - 4
ALC
14%
20%
66%
|
47 | 24 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
ALC
2 - 0
GDA
81%
14%
5%
|
47 | 21 | 26 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
PRA
3 - 2
ALC
45%
26%
30%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
SER
1 - 0
ALC
33%
27%
40%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
ALC
0 - 0
ADM
63%
22%
16%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |