Lusitânia vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
35.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
4º
9º
5º
6
4º
9º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
14 | 35 |
1º
|
55% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 28 |
2º
|
12.5% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 28 |
3º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
6 | 26 |
4º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
4 | 25 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 24 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
3º
|
9 | 24 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 20 |
8º
|
14% | |
|
4º
|
8 | 20 |
9º
|
24% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 18 |
10º
|
35% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
38% | 43% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
62% | 57% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitânia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
LUS
2 - 1
VST
31%
27%
42%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
USA
1 - 1
LUS
52%
24%
23%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
MON
0 - 1
LUS
27%
25%
48%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
VST
3 - 1
LUS
56%
23%
21%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
LUS
3 - 1
USA
32%
27%
41%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
TRO
1 - 1
ACA
37%
25%
38%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
ACA
1 - 3
TOR
21%
25%
55%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
OLI
2 - 2
ACA
65%
19%
16%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
ACA
0 - 0
UDL
21%
24%
55%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
ACA
1 - 3
TON
17%
22%
61%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | 0 |