Lusitania FC vs Vizela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.6%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
67%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitania FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
AMA
1 - 0
LUS
55%
25%
21%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
LUS
2 - 1
UNI
76%
15%
9%
|
51 | 27 | 24 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
LUS
1 - 2
BRA
47%
25%
28%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
LUS
4 - 0
FAF
63%
21%
15%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
VAR
1 - 0
LUS
36%
28%
36%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Vizela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
LEX
0 - 1
VIZ
28%
27%
45%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
VIZ
1 - 2
TOR
62%
23%
16%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
BEN
1 - 0
VIZ
38%
26%
37%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
VIZ
1 - 2
PEN
65%
21%
14%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
UDL
0 - 2
VIZ
32%
27%
42%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |