Lusitania FC vs Vilaverdense FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
20%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
3º
9º
4º
5
6º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
15 | 36 |
1º
|
49.5% | |
|
2º
|
14 | 35 |
2º
|
34.5% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 28 |
3º
|
25% | |
|
|
6º
|
6 | 27 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
5º
|
8 | 26 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 24 |
6º
|
16% | |
|
|
9º
|
5 | 23 |
7º
|
16% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 19 |
8º
|
21% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 16 |
9º
|
25.5% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 15 |
10º
|
35.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
48.5% | 23% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
51.5% | 77% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitania FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
LUS
4 - 3
VIZ
14%
19%
67%
|
51 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
AMA
1 - 0
LUS
55%
25%
21%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
LUS
2 - 1
UNI
76%
15%
9%
|
51 | 27 | 24 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
LUS
1 - 2
BRA
47%
25%
28%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
LUS
4 - 0
FAF
63%
21%
15%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Vilaverdense FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
PAR
3 - 2
VIL
21%
24%
56%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
VIL
1 - 3
VAR
59%
23%
18%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -2 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
DUM
2 - 3
VIL
19%
20%
61%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
ANA
1 - 2
VIL
19%
24%
57%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 2
SAO
67%
19%
14%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |