Lusitania FC vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
24%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+33%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
2º
5º
2º
28
1º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 41 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
31 | 31 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
28 | 28 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 27 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 12 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitania FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
VIA
1 - 1
LUS
19%
26%
54%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
LUS
5 - 0
BRA
58%
22%
20%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
FEL
2 - 1
LUS
50%
25%
26%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 1
LUS
20%
26%
54%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
LUS
4 - 0
ANA
65%
20%
15%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
VAR
0 - 1
FAF
71%
19%
10%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
VAR
2 - 0
VIA
64%
22%
14%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
BRA
2 - 0
VAR
29%
27%
44%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | -2 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
FEL
2 - 0
VAR
40%
27%
34%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
VAR
2 - 1
SAN
70%
20%
10%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |