Lusitania FC vs Sporting Mêda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.8%
Win probability
3.22
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.9%
7-0
2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.3%
6-0
4.3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.1%
5-0
8%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
9.7%
4-0
12.5%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.7%
3-0
15.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.6%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.3%
7.1%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
3.2%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.1%
0
7.1%
2%
Win probability
0.36
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
1.7%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitania FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
AMA
0 - 0
LUS
48%
25%
27%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
LUS
1 - 0
GON
36%
26%
38%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
LUS
0 - 0
LUS
58%
23%
20%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
LUS
2 - 0
RDA
55%
24%
21%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
UNM
0 - 2
LUS
74%
17%
8%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | +2 |
Matches
Sporting Mêda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
SPO
0 - 3
GAF
7%
15%
78%
|
11 | 42 | 31 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
CIN
1 - 0
SPO
89%
8%
3%
|
12 | 36 | 24 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
SPO
1 - 2
LEC
18%
20%
62%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
CES
2 - 0
SPO
90%
8%
3%
|
12 | 42 | 30 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
SPO
0 - 1
PEN
9%
15%
76%
|
12 | 30 | 18 | 0 |