Lusitania FC vs SC Covilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
23.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-46%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
1º
4º
4º
9
4º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 30 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
24 | 24 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
23 | 23 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
16 | 16 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 14 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 11 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
9 | 9 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitania FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
VAR
4 - 3
LUS
27%
29%
44%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
ALV
3 - 1
LUS
39%
28%
33%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -2 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
LUS
3 - 1
ATL
56%
24%
21%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
BRA
2 - 2
LUS
37%
28%
35%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
LUS
1 - 0
FEL
50%
25%
26%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
SPC
1 - 1
ACA
43%
26%
32%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
FEL
2 - 0
SPC
40%
27%
33%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
SPC
2 - 2
VAR
61%
23%
16%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
ALV
1 - 0
SPC
38%
27%
35%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
SPC
2 - 2
ATL
50%
25%
25%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |