Lusitania FC vs SC Salgueiros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
47.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-40%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
1º
13º
1º
49
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
49 | 52 |
1º
|
35% | |
|
|
2º
|
49 | 52 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
59% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 48 |
4º
|
77.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
93% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
93% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
71.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 32 |
9º
|
71.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 29 |
10º
|
67% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
67% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
84% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
84% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 81.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 18.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitania FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
REB
2 - 1
LUS
14%
20%
66%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
OLI
1 - 0
LUS
45%
27%
28%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
CAN
0 - 0
LUS
50%
24%
26%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
LUS
0 - 1
ANA
54%
22%
23%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
FAF
0 - 0
LUS
45%
25%
30%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
SC Salgueiros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
SAL
0 - 0
GON
58%
24%
18%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
VAL
5 - 2
SAL
31%
26%
43%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -2 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
SAL
0 - 0
LEC
41%
26%
32%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
SMA
1 - 2
SAL
41%
26%
33%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
SAL
2 - 2
MAR
58%
23%
19%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | -1 |