Lusitania FC vs Rebordosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
23.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
1º
13º
1º
48
1º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
49 | 52 |
1º
|
35% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 52 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
59% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 48 |
4º
|
77.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
93% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
93% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
71.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 32 |
9º
|
71.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 29 |
10º
|
67% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
67% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
84% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
84% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 18.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 81.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitania FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
LUS
2 - 1
ALP
78%
13%
9%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
VAL
2 - 0
LUS
54%
26%
20%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
LUS
2 - 1
CAM
54%
24%
22%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
MAC
1 - 0
LUS
11%
19%
70%
|
39 | 17 | 22 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
LUS
1 - 0
LEC
33%
26%
42%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Rebordosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
GON
0 - 1
REB
70%
18%
11%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
REB
2 - 2
SAL
21%
24%
56%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
RES
2 - 2
REB
24%
23%
53%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
ALP
0 - 3
REB
31%
23%
47%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
REB
1 - 0
VAL
20%
24%
57%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | +3 |