Lusitania FC vs Praiense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
62.6%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitania FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
VIL
4 - 0
LUS
66%
21%
13%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
LUS
0 - 0
1DE
33%
27%
40%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
CAL
1 - 0
LUS
58%
24%
18%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
LUS
1 - 1
TOR
21%
27%
52%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
LOU
1 - 0
LUS
70%
19%
11%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Praiense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
PRA
2 - 1
MAF
35%
28%
37%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
ELE
0 - 0
PRA
15%
21%
64%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
PRA
3 - 2
FAT
53%
24%
23%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
PRA
4 - 1
ALC
80%
14%
6%
|
47 | 16 | 31 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
SAC
4 - 0
PRA
34%
25%
40%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |