Lusitania FC vs Pedras Rubras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.9%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
13%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.4%
13.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitania FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2019 |
LUS
1 - 0
AVE
8%
16%
77%
|
45 | 71 | 26 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2019 |
BMA
2 - 3
LUS
71%
19%
10%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
ARO
2 - 0
LUS
74%
18%
8%
|
45 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2019 |
VIZ
0 - 1
LUS
66%
21%
14%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2019 |
PEN
0 - 0
LUS
74%
17%
9%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Pedras Rubras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2019 |
PED
2 - 2
CIN
57%
23%
20%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
LUS
3 - 0
PED
63%
21%
15%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
PED
1 - 0
SPO
90%
8%
3%
|
38 | 7 | 31 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
RDA
0 - 0
PED
55%
25%
21%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
PED
1 - 1
SAN
33%
26%
41%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +1 |