Lusitania FC vs USC Paredes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
16.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.3%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.8%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16.4%
6.6%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitania FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2019 |
ESP
2 - 0
LUS
44%
26%
30%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
LUS
2 - 1
MAR
65%
21%
14%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
SPO
0 - 2
LUS
6%
13%
81%
|
48 | 9 | 39 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
LUS
2 - 1
AMA
45%
26%
29%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
GON
1 - 2
LUS
41%
27%
32%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
USC Paredes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2019 |
PAR
1 - 0
LEC
49%
24%
27%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
PEN
0 - 0
PAR
30%
25%
45%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
AMA
1 - 0
PAR
77%
16%
7%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
PAR
1 - 2
CIN
44%
26%
31%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
MAR
1 - 1
PAR
64%
21%
15%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |