Lusitania FC vs Moimenta da Beira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
25.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitania FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
PED
1 - 1
LUS
45%
24%
31%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
SOB
1 - 0
LUS
48%
24%
28%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
LUS
2 - 2
COI
38%
26%
36%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
CIN
2 - 2
LUS
61%
22%
17%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
LUS
2 - 2
ESP
49%
24%
27%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Moimenta da Beira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
MOI
1 - 2
SOB
39%
24%
38%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
COI
0 - 0
MOI
58%
22%
20%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
MOI
1 - 1
CIN
29%
26%
46%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
ESP
1 - 0
MOI
48%
24%
28%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
MOI
1 - 1
GON
32%
25%
44%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | +1 |