Lusitania FC vs Marítimo II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
29.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitania FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2021 |
AMA
1 - 1
LUS
35%
28%
37%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2021 |
CAN
1 - 1
LUS
39%
28%
34%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
SAO
2 - 0
LUS
34%
28%
38%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -2 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
LUS
0 - 4
ESP
58%
23%
19%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -2 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
CAS
0 - 3
LUS
26%
27%
48%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Marítimo II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2021 |
MAR
4 - 3
CAN
50%
26%
24%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2021 |
AMA
1 - 0
MAR
29%
26%
45%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
GON
1 - 2
MAR
43%
26%
31%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
MAR
0 - 0
TRO
43%
26%
31%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
MAR
4 - 0
COI
70%
18%
12%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |