Lusitania FC vs Machico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.3%
6.7%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+55%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
1º
13º
1º
25
8º
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
49 | 52 |
1º
|
35% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 52 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
59% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 48 |
4º
|
77.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
93% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
93% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
71.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 32 |
9º
|
71.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
25 | 29 |
10º
|
67% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
67% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
84% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
84% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 67% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 33% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitania FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
LEC
1 - 2
LUS
31%
29%
41%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
LUS
2 - 1
CAS
74%
18%
9%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
BMA
1 - 2
LUS
54%
25%
21%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
LUS
3 - 1
MAR
49%
24%
26%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 2
LUS
20%
22%
58%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Machico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
MAC
2 - 0
GON
16%
21%
63%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
SAL
2 - 0
MAC
81%
14%
5%
|
23 | 47 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
MAC
2 - 2
REB
17%
21%
63%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
ALP
2 - 2
MAC
71%
16%
13%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
MAC
0 - 2
VAL
11%
17%
72%
|
23 | 43 | 20 | -1 |