Lusitania FC vs Lusitano VRSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
23.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitania FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
EST
1 - 1
LUS
33%
24%
43%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
LUS
4 - 2
ANA
53%
22%
25%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
CIN
1 - 4
LUS
53%
24%
23%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +2 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
LUS
0 - 0
ESP
38%
26%
36%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
CES
0 - 0
LUS
40%
24%
36%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
LUS
0 - 1
CES
61%
20%
19%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
GRI
4 - 1
LUS
31%
24%
45%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | -2 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
LUS
0 - 2
SAO
53%
23%
24%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
BUS
5 - 0
LUS
28%
25%
46%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | -3 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
LUS
1 - 1
ESP
54%
23%
23%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |