Lusitania FC vs Leça FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.5%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.1%
8.4%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitania FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
GON
0 - 2
LUS
31%
27%
42%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
LUS
4 - 2
SPC
10%
18%
72%
|
46 | 67 | 21 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
LUS
2 - 0
VIL
71%
18%
11%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
PAR
0 - 0
LUS
19%
25%
56%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
PAR
0 - 0
LUS
21%
25%
54%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Leça FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
LEC
1 - 1
CAN
37%
23%
41%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
LEC
0 - 0
OLI
10%
18%
73%
|
35 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
AMA
3 - 4
LEC
63%
22%
15%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
LEC
1 - 0
VAL
79%
13%
8%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
GON
3 - 1
LEC
54%
25%
21%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |