Lusitania FC vs Leça FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.8%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.8%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
14%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
16%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.9%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.9%
4.3%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+125%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitania FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
LUS
1 - 0
SIN
24%
26%
51%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
COR
2 - 2
LUS
37%
23%
41%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
LUS
3 - 1
SCG
77%
14%
9%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
PER
0 - 3
LUS
33%
25%
42%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
LUS
3 - 1
ALC
38%
25%
38%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Leça FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2018 |
LEC
3 - 2
MAI
6%
14%
81%
|
15 | 58 | 43 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
LAV
0 - 5
LEC
49%
22%
29%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
PER
0 - 1
LEC
56%
22%
22%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
LEC
2 - 2
VAL
27%
23%
50%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
ALI
2 - 2
LEC
75%
16%
9%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |