Lusitania FC vs Grijó analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
21.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitania FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
SAO
2 - 1
LUS
49%
24%
27%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
LUS
0 - 0
BUS
61%
21%
19%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
LUS
1 - 0
LUS
61%
21%
18%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
LUS
1 - 0
EST
61%
21%
18%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
FAR
2 - 2
LUS
78%
15%
7%
|
37 | 62 | 25 | +1 |
Matches
Grijó
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
GRI
0 - 0
CES
45%
24%
31%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
GRI
1 - 1
ESP
28%
26%
46%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
SAO
1 - 0
GRI
64%
19%
17%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
GRI
1 - 1
BUS
50%
23%
27%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
BMA
4 - 1
GRI
82%
12%
5%
|
34 | 63 | 29 | 0 |