Lusitania FC vs Gondomar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
39.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+75%
-58%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitania FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2015 |
MOI
1 - 1
LUS
39%
25%
36%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
LUS
6 - 0
PED
45%
25%
30%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +2 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
LUS
0 - 0
SOB
43%
25%
32%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
COI
2 - 1
LUS
57%
24%
19%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
LUS
1 - 1
CIN
35%
27%
38%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Gondomar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2015 |
GON
2 - 0
SOB
56%
25%
19%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
COI
1 - 1
GON
44%
28%
28%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
GON
1 - 1
CIN
43%
29%
28%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
ESP
1 - 1
GON
25%
29%
46%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
PED
0 - 1
GON
34%
27%
39%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |