Lusitania FC vs Gafanha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
24.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitania FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 2
LUS
63%
22%
16%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
LUS
5 - 0
GON
34%
27%
39%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | +4 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
MOI
1 - 1
LUS
39%
25%
36%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
LUS
6 - 0
PED
45%
25%
30%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +2 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
LUS
0 - 0
SOB
43%
25%
32%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Gafanha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
GAF
0 - 0
CES
41%
26%
33%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
GAF
2 - 2
SAN
29%
25%
46%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
MAR
4 - 0
GAF
36%
25%
39%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | -2 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
GAF
1 - 1
SAO
56%
23%
22%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
GAF
1 - 0
ANA
37%
26%
37%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +1 |