Lusitania FC vs Espinho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
27%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+75%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitania FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
LUS
4 - 0
PED
54%
23%
24%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
CIN
1 - 0
LUS
62%
22%
16%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
LUS
1 - 0
COI
29%
26%
45%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | +2 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
GON
1 - 1
LUS
59%
22%
19%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
LUS
0 - 1
MOI
53%
22%
25%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Espinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
SOU
4 - 1
ESP
61%
22%
17%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
ESP
0 - 0
SOB
37%
24%
39%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
SAL
2 - 2
ESP
66%
20%
14%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
MOI
2 - 2
ESP
48%
23%
30%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
ESP
1 - 0
PED
45%
24%
31%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +1 |