Lusitania FC vs Espinho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
32.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+90%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitania FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2014 |
LUS
2 - 1
GRI
46%
24%
30%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
ESP
2 - 1
LUS
55%
23%
22%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
LUS
1 - 0
LUS
54%
24%
23%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
LUS
0 - 0
CIN
37%
26%
37%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
BUS
0 - 0
LUS
45%
25%
31%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Espinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2014 |
ESP
0 - 1
FAM
39%
26%
35%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
EST
2 - 2
ESP
38%
25%
37%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
ESP
2 - 1
LUS
55%
23%
22%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
ESP
1 - 2
CIN
47%
26%
28%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
ANA
1 - 3
ESP
48%
25%
27%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +2 |