Lusitania FC vs Cinfães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
44.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+71%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitania FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
COI
3 - 0
LUS
47%
24%
29%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
LUS
1 - 0
GON
31%
27%
42%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | +2 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
MOI
3 - 0
LUS
30%
24%
47%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | -3 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
ALC
2 - 0
LUS
55%
24%
21%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
SOU
3 - 1
LUS
41%
27%
32%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Cinfães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
CIN
2 - 1
SOU
51%
25%
24%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
SOB
1 - 2
CIN
41%
26%
33%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
CIN
1 - 1
SAL
49%
25%
26%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
CIN
1 - 1
COI
54%
24%
22%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
ESP
0 - 0
CIN
35%
27%
39%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |