Lusitania FC vs Cesarense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
16.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitania FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
PEN
1 - 2
LUS
17%
22%
62%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
LUS
1 - 1
CIN
65%
21%
13%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
LEC
0 - 2
LUS
13%
20%
67%
|
42 | 21 | 21 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
PAR
1 - 2
LUS
21%
25%
54%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
LUS
0 - 0
ESP
46%
26%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Cesarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
PAR
2 - 1
CES
38%
25%
38%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
CES
1 - 3
LEC
80%
14%
7%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
PEN
1 - 1
CES
23%
23%
55%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
AMA
3 - 1
CES
56%
24%
21%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
CES
1 - 2
CIN
59%
24%
17%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -1 |