Lusitania FC vs Cesarense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
23.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitania FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
BUS
3 - 2
LUS
29%
24%
47%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
LUS
2 - 2
EST
38%
26%
36%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
OFR
1 - 0
LUS
30%
24%
46%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | -2 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
GAF
0 - 0
LUS
30%
27%
43%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
LUS
2 - 1
SAN
30%
25%
45%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Cesarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
CES
0 - 3
SAN
29%
25%
46%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
MOR
1 - 2
CES
34%
23%
42%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
CES
1 - 2
ANA
32%
26%
42%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
LUS
2 - 2
CES
50%
24%
26%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
CES
2 - 2
GAF
60%
21%
19%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |