Lusitania FC vs Cesarense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
31.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitania FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
GRI
2 - 0
LUS
41%
24%
35%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
LUS
1 - 2
SAO
42%
25%
33%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 2013 |
BUS
2 - 0
LUS
39%
26%
35%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -2 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
LUS
2 - 0
LUS
53%
23%
24%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
EST
1 - 1
LUS
33%
24%
43%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Cesarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
CES
2 - 1
ESP
44%
26%
30%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
CES
4 - 0
GRI
49%
24%
27%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +2 |
| 29 Dec. 2013 |
SAO
0 - 2
CES
63%
21%
16%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
CES
1 - 1
BUS
46%
24%
30%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
LUS
0 - 1
CES
61%
20%
19%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +1 |